I will start to give you all my best bettingtips in the game between Argentina vs Spain and then follow that up with my best tips from Paraguay vs Spain. I have choose to pick the odds from bwin bet on world cup and one of the reasons that I do that is because they have the biggest offer in different odds and betting opportunities of all the betting sites.

There are over 300 different betting opportunities at bwin, which can be compared with most of the sites that offers about 100 different bets per match.

Paraguay vs. Spain, odds: Paraguay to win, odds: 8.00, draw odds: 4.50, Spain to win, odds: 1.40

My bettingtips:

Paraguay vs. Spain – Spain to win @ 1.40

Paraguay has never been in a quarterfinal in the World cup’s history before so this is a very big game for them. But the fact is that Spain never have been further then a quarterfinal before either, which can be hard to think compared to the team that Spain has, and have got for a long time.

I think that the fact that Spain did so well in the European Championship two years ago (when they won the Gold medal) has helped them a lot in this World cup.

It started as it often do for Spain in World cup, they lost against Switzerland with 1 – 0. When that happened, I am pretty sure that most of the Spaniards thought something like “Not this time as well”. Because Spain was, the biggest favourites to win the World cup according to the odds before the championship started and that even thought they have never been in a semi-final before.

Nevertheless, after their loss against Switzerland they came back strongly and won against both Honduras and Chile (2 – 0 and 2 – 1) which took them trough to the second round. In the first match of the second round they played against their neighbours Portugal in a great game where Portugal seemed to bee the strongest team but where Spain made a substitution and that changed the game. Spain won with 1 – 0 after that David Villa (who else?) scored his fourth goal of the tournament.

Paraguay has been doing very well and has only let one goal in so far. They started with 1 – 1 against the former trophy holders Italy and after that they won against Slovakia with 2 – 0. In their last group match they played 0 – 0 against New Zeeland, but in that game they where not forced to win. In the second round they was headed against Japan and won after penalties (0 – 0 after ordinary time).

So none of these teams as impressed that much so far, but still one of the teams will go to the semi-finals. My feeling is that Spain is growing as they are going further and that they have good opportunities to win this game. I do not think that it will be an easy game but I still think that Spain is too good for Paraguay. Actually I would say that the odds on a Spanish win is a bit too low to bet on if it would had been a group-game or friendly, but now when it is a quarterfinal I have a feeling that the Spanish world-class-players will improve their game and win.

Paraguay vs. Spain, correct result: 0 – 1 @ 5.20 in odds

It’s not often that I place a bettingtips on correct result, but this time I have a strong feeling that this game can end 1 – 0 for Spain. I had the same feeling in their game against Portugal, but this time I am going to place a bet on that as well.

As I wrote above, these two teams have not been scoring too many goals forward. In addition, Paraguay has shown a strong defensively strength and I am pretty sure that they will try to hold up 0 – 0 as long as they can. Almost all of the Spanish players are playing in Spanish league for some of the top clubs, and if they come up to a normal standard, at least one of these players should be able to score eventually. Spain has David Villa, Fernando Torres, Xavi, Xabi Alonso, Cesc Fabregas, Fernando Ilorente, Andres Iniesta and the question is for how long time Paraguay can stand up with their defensive line.

I choose to bet the result 0 – 1 to Spain since I think this will be a tight game in the beginning and that Spain will score in the second half. And when/if they do, they are one of the best nations in the world to pass the ball. If you choose to bet on 0 – 1 result for Spain and that is the standing late in the game I can even recommend you to keep an eye on the livebetting. It might being worth to hedge that bet if you have a high stake since the odds is over 5.00.

My best bettingtips from Argentina vs Germany follows in the next text

In these two texts that I will share with you my predictions for group-winners for group C and D and, the betting value compared to the odds, odds value, and some other interesting bets for these groups.

I will start to present all the odds for the group-winners and then give you my analyze for how I think it will end and which team is most worth betting on. Keep in mind that a potential winner and a team worth betting on necessary do not have to be the same country. After that, I will share some other interesting “special-bets” that I find worth betting on. The odds are picked from bwin-world cup odds.

Group C – Winner

England, odds: 1.30

USA, odds: 5.00

Slovenia, odds: 12.00

Algeria, odds: 17.00

My bettingtips: England to win @ 1.30 in odds

England is always one of the pre favorites in World cup and European Championship when it comes to football but they rarely manage to go far. However, this time I believe that they can go far thanks to their talented and tactical highly skilled manager, Fabio Capello.

England’s biggest problem the last couple of times has been that they have not been able to play as a team when they play against better nations. Nevertheless, this time they have the strong leader that they have been missing and he has managed to set up a tactic that fits both Frank Lampard and Steven Gerrard. Besides these two players England, have many good players in their squad both on their defense and on offence.

USA has a strong team this year as well and did it good in the Confederations Cup last summer in South Africa (even called pre World cup). Even though I think that they can be the underdog that manages to go far in this tourney, I do not think that they will be able to end before England in this group.

Neither Slovenia nor Algeria should have the strength to compete with England (or USA) when it comes to a world cup game. So my tips is that England will win this group and that USA will take the second place and follow England trough to the knock-out stage.

Other interesting bettingtips from group C:

How many goals will Algeria score in the group?

Over 2,5 goals, odds: 2.10 / Under 2,5 goals, odds: 1.65

My bettingtips: Under 2,5 goals @ 1.65 in odds

According to me, Algeria is the last team in this group. They are probably happy only to get the opportunity to play in this world cup since they where close to not even reach here. Algeria was forced to play an extra game in the African qualification against Egypt on neutral ground after have ended on the same point and same goal difference after the last group game.

When I have followed Algeria in the Africa’s cup of nation, they often try to play with focus on their defense and I cannot see that they will change that tactic in World cup.

My feeling is that Algeria will find it hard to score one goal per game in average, which would mean that I win on my bettingtips. I find 1.65 in odds as a good bet and recommend that to you.

How many goals will USA score in the group?

Over 3,5 goals, odds: 1.80 / Under 3,5 goals, odds: 1.95

My bettingtips: Over 3,5 goals @ 1.80 in odds

As I wrote in my group-analyze above, I have a feeling that USA can go far in this tournament and I believe that they will play an offensive football. They have improved their game much the last couple of years and are able to disturb most of the nations in this World Cup.

Last year, when they played the Confederations Cup, USA scored a lot and went whole the way to the final. My theory is that USA will beat at least Algeria and that they have good chances against Slovakia as well. To win on my bet they have to score minimum four goals in the group stage and that is possible for sure. If they manage to score two goals in one game and then one each in the rest of the games they will reach the four goal mark which would mean that my tips is right. And I defiantly think that they are able to score four – five goals in this group.

USA have many players that play either in some of the best leagues in Europe or are key players in their own league, Major Soccer League (MSL). And their manager, Bob Bradley, likes offensive tactic. The betting company where I pick my odds from, bwin, pays 1.80 in odds on my bet and that is enough to invest in.

My bettingtips on the matches / games will be presented during the tourney, but before it starts, I will give you my best bettingtips on some of the long time bets like winners, top goal scorer, grope winners, to go trough and so on.

In these two texts, I will present my best tips on Top Goal Scorers and the Winners of whole World Cup. It would be too much info to present the odds of all the teams and players for you, so if you are interested to see where all the nations and players stand in odds I recommend you to visit a betting site. I will give you the best odds from bwin football world cup odds and will present a couple of potential winners and the odds for these teams / players. These odds and tips are either what I believe on or even some underdogs that pays too much according to the odds. Normally I only recommend you to bet on odds value but World Cup of football is special and very often the pre favours go far. Therefore, in some cases, it is “okey” to bet on picks and not only stare blind on value (but of course, the odds play a part in that as well).

I have about five options each for the Gold winner and top goal scorer and will start with my winner of the tournament and give you short analysis on why I bet as I do.

Winning the World cup of football 2010:

Argentina 7.00

England 8.00

Holland 11.00

USA 81.00

Argentina, odds: 7.00

Argentina for sure has the best attacking players in the world. Lionel Messi is obvious in the starting line, but behind him we have players like Gonzalo Higuain, Carlos Tevez, Sergio “Kün” Aguerro, Diego Milito and Martin Palermo and so on. I am sure there is non other team where a player like Milito would not be obvious in a start-up. But in Argentina’s squad he is probably only no 5 which is totally insane.

Even behind their attackers, they have world-class players in the squad and Argentina would probably be the biggest favourite to win world cup if it wasn’t because the controversial coach Maradona. Many experts think that Maradona will be their fall but I do not actually agree. I am sure that they can go all the way and win the gold medal, not thanks to Maradona, but because they have a strong team. They are my biggest favourites to win and a good bettingtips since they pay as much as 7.00 in odds.

England, odds: 8.00

Finally, this can be England’s year. Their supporter always claim that they are the best team in the world but this time I think that they can win World cup even without being the best team in the world. Fabio Capello is a great manager and with his tactical skills, you do not have to have the best squad. His biggest problem is who to put between the posts. They do not have an obvious goalkeeper, but I still think that England can go far. England pays 8.00 in odds and its worth a shot this time (I have never bet on England to win a world cup before, and since I wasn’t born 1966 I have spared money on that).

Holland, odds: 11.00

The concept “Total Football” is Holland’s own brandmark. They always play a fantastic football to watch. However, their biggest problem has always been that when it comes to quarterfinals or semi finals they cannot beat the tactical skilled teams like Italy, Germany or France.

I always hope for Holland to win because I love football and I belive that if they can show that their way of play is the best way even other nations and clubs will try to play on the same way.

This year they only have two potential top-scorers in the squad (Van Persie and Huntelaar), but they have a strong midfield and defensive line as well. So Holland can defiantly go whole the way to the finals and win world cup if they only can switch their attacking play to a more tactical play later in the tournament, 11.00 in odds is interesting and I recommend them aswell as a bettingtips.

USA, odds: 81.00

I just have to give you one bettingtips on a bigger underdog aswell and USA is a team that can go really far in world cup. They have built their “soccer” nation for a long time now and it seems that they can compete with the best teams soon.

Last year they played very well in the confederations cup and reached the finals. In addition, for their advantage it looks like many Americans will follow their team in South Africa this year, something that has been rare for them in world cups.

When I see that USA pays as much as 81.00 in odds, I just have to put a small bet on them.

Good Luck with picking your own world cup-betting winner

/Amrish

Lionel Messi (ARG), odds: 8.00

Wayne Rooney (ENG), odds: 8.50

Gonzalo Higuain (ARG), odds: 17.00

Klaas-Jan Huntelaar (NED), odds: 51.00

Humberto Suazo (CHI), odds: 101.00

As you can notice, the most of the players that I recommend here are from nations that I think will go far in the whole tournament as well. Because there is often a connection between teams going far and players who wins the scoring table. Here are my thoughts for my picks:

Lionel Messi (ARG), odds: 8.00

There are many warnings from experts that Argentina will be one of World cup’s biggest flops this year and most of them believe that their coach, Diego Maradona, is the reason for that. I can agree on the part that Maradona probably isn’t the best coach in my thoughts either but I still think that Argentina has a strong team and can go far with Maradona as coach.

Argentina has the best attacking players in the world and no matter how Maradona choose to play their attacking tactics there will be top class players that have to sit on the bench and follow the tourney from the side.

Lionel Messi will for sure play if he is not injured because he is the best player in the world right now. But it will be a tug of war which players will play together with him. Messi the type of player who can do the things that Maradona did for 24 years ago. He can dribble trough 5 – 6 players and score him self. If Maradona plays Messi at top, he is defiantly a player that will score many goals and 8.00 in odds for him to become top scorer is a god bet according to me.

Gonzalo Higuain (ARG), odds: 17.00

Gonzalo Higuain is another player from Argentina that I think has the opportunities to score a lot in this tourney if he gets the chance to play. In addition, it looks like he will be their second alternative together with Messi in this tourney.

The Real Madrid forward has played very well in the Spanish league and scored a lot as well.

If Messi plays behind the attacking line or he plays just behind the striker Gonzalo Higuain, there is a big chance that Higuain will become the top scorer of World Cup.

Wayne Rooney (ENG), odds: 8.50

Together with Argentina, England is one of the teams that I think can go far in this tournament. The Englishmen them self’s always think that they will win the world cup every forth year, but I think that they think too much of their chances every so often.

But this year I really think that England can go all the way to the Final and one of the biggest reasons for me to believe on them is their coach, Fabio Capello. Capello is one of the three – four best tactical coaches in the world according to me (another one is Inter Milan’s manager Jose Mourinho) and he has shown in both the world cup qualification and in their friendly games that he has something big coming up this summer.

And if England goes far in they tourney, I am pretty sure that Wayne Rooney will score a lot. He has taken a big responsibility in Manchester United this year, after that Christiano Ronaldo left, and shown that he is a great goal scorer as well.

He will carry whole England on his shoulder and I am sure that he, despite his young age, will do that more then good.

Rooney pays 8.50 in odds and is a potential winner, a god bet according to me aswell.

Klaas-Jan Huntelaar (NED), odds: 51.00

I often believe in Holland to go far and they often do. Holland often plays the most attractive football and they have great supporters following their orange heroes. However, their biggest problem so far has been when it comes to tight and tough games in the knock out stage. It always feels like their game from the group stage collapses and it suddenly stops there.

However, Holland is a team that scores a lot offensive. This year they do not have a given striker in the team besides Van Persie and that is why I think that Klaas-Jan Huntelaar will fill that hole.

It surprises me that Huntelaar pays as much as 51.00 in odds and I defiantly hold him as an underdog that can explode in this tourney after a bad season with Milan.

A good bettingtips according to the odds and it at least worth a small bet.

Humberto Suazo (CHI), odds: 101.00

Suazo is most likely the player who is most unknown of the five representatives that I bet on as top scorer of world cup. But his nation, Chile, can become a big surprise in this tourney and then Humberto Suazo is big scorer.

Chile plays one of the most positive football in South America at the moment and sometimes it almost feels like their manager prefer to play with a formation 4 – 2 – 4.

I know that it is a long shot that Suazo will go all the way and win the title as top scorer, but at the same time he pays over one hundred in odds and that is really interesting since his team plays such an offensive football. Why not bet a small bet on him aswell, it will not cost that much but the winnings will be very high.

/Good Luck with your world cup betting

Amrish

Here are all the matches and odds for these five games, the odds are picked from bwin-football-betting-tips:

Blackburn vs. Bolton, odds: home win 2.00  draw 3.30  away win 3.60

Aston Villa vs. Burnley, odds: home win 1.35  draw 4.50 away win 8.50

Fulham vs. Birmingham City, odds: home win 2.05  draw 3.25  away win 3.50

Manchester City vs. Liverpool FC, odds: home win 2.60   draw 3.20   away win 2.60

Wigan Athletic vs. Tottenham Hotspurs, odds: home win 3.55   draw 3.30  away win 2.00

I will start to give you my two best bettingtips for today’s matches and then analyse the rest of the games and try to sort out how I think it will end and where I think we have potential value bets.

Fulham vs. Birmingham City – bettingtips; Home win @ 2.05 in odds

Fulham has been in a shorter down period some matches ago, but after their win against Burnley with 3 – 0 I think that they are on their way up again. Birmingham on the other side had a brilliant form a couple of matches ago but has lost some games and doesn’t feel just as strong as some weeks ago.

Birmingham City had a strong row with matches without loss (I think they had thirteen games). However, as is often happens with teams less strong squads even Birmingham has come to a point where I think that they will have a tough period in front of them. For example Birmingham lost away against West Ham in their last league game (2 – 0) and only have one win in their last five games.

Fulham is, and have always been this season, a strong side home at Craven Cottage. They have taken points from most of the top teams here at Craven. After Birmingham have started to loose again Fulham is just behind Birmingham in the league table now. Birmingham stands on 9^th place with 37 points and Fulham is on the 10^th place with 34 points before this game. Since Fulham has better goal difference, they will pass Birmingham in the league table if they win today.

Compared to these two teams home / away stats it also feels like it is clear home advantage here. Fulham have won 8 of their 13 matches played at Craven Cottage while Birmingham only has four wins in twelve games away, six looses. Therefore, I think that they have big chances to win against Birmingham City as well. The odds on home win are 2.05 and I find that valuable to put a bet on.

Manchester City vs. Liverpool – bettingtips; Home win @ 2.60 in odds.

A big game just behind top three in the table and this is a vital game in the chase for the forth place in the league. As you all probably know the fourth place even means a ticket to the qualification round to Champions League for the coming year, and that means lots of money for the clubs.

I think that both of these clubs are aiming for the Champions League and almost need to go there to cover up all of the costs. Liverpool has been playing in Champions league for the last 6-7 years and cannot afford to not play in the biggest tourney for club teams.

Nevertheless, this year has been a tough one for Rafa Benitez and his Liverpool and even when they have won games, the play just does not seem satisfied. Manchester City on the other hand has a great record after the Italian manager Roberto Mancini arrived and they have even beaten both Manchester United (in carlings cup), Arsenal (4 – 2 in the league back in autumn) and Chelsea (2 – 1 in the league) this year.

In addition, I do not feel that Liverpool is close to these teams this year and find the odds on home win as a great bet. I think that Liverpool often is overvalued when it comes to betting and odds and this is a great example of that. I would say that about 2.30 would be normal odds on the home win if I decided the odds in this game, but now I am sitting on the other side of the table so I pick this as a bettingtips instead and recommend you to bet on Manchester City today.

In the rest of today’s matches, I think that Aston Villa will beat Burnley easy. Even though the odds seem a bit low I just cannot see them not winning in the battle of top four. Therefore, this is a good bet according to me as well. Burnley is one of the weaker teams in Premier League outside their home ground. Two odds that I feel interesting in this game are hcp (0-1) or halftime / fulltime 1 / 1.

When it comes to Wigan vs. Tottenham and Blackburn vs. Bolton, I find both this games hard to predict and neither of the odds are valuable to place a bet on.

Good Luck with your premier league betting

/Amrish

Here are the odds for these two matches:

FC Bayern München vs. Fiorentina, odds: Bayern M win 1.60, draw 3.50, Fiorentina win 5.75

FC Porto vs. Arsenal, odds: Porto win 2.55, draw 3.30, Arsenal win 2.60

My best bettingtips:

FC Bayern München vs. Fiorentina, bettingtips: Home win @ 1.60

Actually 1.60 in odds is pretty low for a home win on München against Fiorentina normally. I would for example never bet on Bayern München to that odds in an ordinary group match, but when it comes to knock out matches the better side wins more often then normally.

So what I am trying to say is that when it comes to important matches like Champions League, and the better side is playing at home, it’s okay to revise the values a bit. And that’s just what I have done here. Because I really think that Bayern München has great chances to win home at Allianz Arena.

A bit like AC Milan, as I wrote before, B München also started this season pretty badly. They where behind in the league and was far behind in Champions League as well. Since Bordeaux from France where going very well and since B München lost against twice against them and only got one point against Juventus at home I could not see how they had any chances to go trough from group A. But Bordeaux kept winning against Juventus as well and that gave Bayern a last chance to go trough by winning away against Juventus, in Turin. And against the odds they managed to win with brutal 1 – 4 and took the runner up place.

I had Bayern München as one of my potential underdogs to win whole Champions League this season but never thought that after four matches. And an underdog that has been excluded, almost even by them selves, is always danger for the coming tourney.

Fiorentina did very well in the group stage but are normally way better home at Stadio Artemio Franchi compared to their away game. And after Christmas and New Year holidays Fiorentina has had a tough period and dropped in the league table. They are currently at the eleventh place in Serie A and that’s really disappointing.

I would be surprised if Fiorentina could turn this bad form to something good in this game and chose Bayern München as my first bettingtips here.

And my bet from the second game:

FC Porto vs. Arsenal, bettingtips: home win @ 2.55

A hard game to predict according to me, and the odds that bwin has set up says the same. Almost even odds at both ways and since I think that this is a tough game to predict the draw might had been the most logical bet. But I have a feeling that Porto will win this game thanks to their home advantage.

Arsenal has a really hard period coming in the league now and can’t rest any players. They have played against Manchester United home at Emirates and lost with 1 – 3. Now Chelsea is their next opponent and I think that they will loose that game as well. But it doesn’t end there, because Arsenal is going to play Liverpool soon in Premier League as well. So I think that this game comes worse then worse to Arsenal.

Since Arsenal still has a chance to involve themselves in the top of the table they can’t even rest players in these games. And all of their injuries make it even harder for manager Arsene Wenger. So if Arsenal would have an easier schedule in the league or if they would be more behind Chelsea in the top of the table I would probably bet on the draw @ 3.30 in odds. But the circumstance makes me want to bet on Porto here.

And you should not forget that FC Porto is a strong side home in Champions League. It’s never easy for opponents to come to Estadio Dragao and take a win. Chelsea took a win there, but Porto beat both Atletico Madrid from Spain and Apoel from Cyprus in their home ground. And with some key players half injured in Arsenal I think that Porto has great opportunities to win. Porto is going strong in the Portuguese league. The odds is 2.55 and I find that worth betting on, at least with a small stake.

All the odds that I presented are taken from bwin-football-betting.

Good Luck with your betting

Best regards /Amrish

There where a round just before Christmas, one on Boxing day, and now it’s time again, just two – three days later. And we have had some interesting results. For Example Chelsea only got one point away against a Birmingham with strong form and it became a tough betting day again.

Two matches are left to play, and it is Arsenal vs Aston Villa and Hull vs Manchester United. And after Chelsea’s 0-0 against Birmingham, both Arsenal and Aston Villa have a god chance to reduce the gap to Chelsea. I have found two interesting odds in these two games that I would like to share with you.

Arsenal vs. Aston Villa – Home win @ 1.70

Arsenal has a god chance to be involved in the top of the table after Chelsea dropped two points against Birmingham. With two game less played then Chelsea Arsenal can stand just one point after the leaders if they win those two games.

Today Arsenal is playing against Aston Villa home at Emirates and even though Aston Villa has made a brilliant season so far I think that Arsenal will win and take three very important points at home. Their injury problems are getting better and some players are all ready back for this game. Some others are on their way back and since Arsenal have managed to take several points all though they have had lots of injuries I think that Arsene Wenger’s side is going towards a fine spring.

Arsenal’s most important player is Fabregas who is the heart in Arsenals midfield. And he is now back from several injury problems and that’s one of the reason that I think that the odds on Arsenal is worth betting on today. Another reason why I chose to bet on Arsenal is that Eduadro seems to be back for real again and with Robin Van Persie missing he and Arshavin has a big gap to fill.

As I wrote above, Aston Villa has played well this season and they have taken points from lots of top teams this year, but in this game I think that Arsenal will be to hard for them.

Since Arsenal have had so many injuries and now have player back means that many of their key players have had more rest then most of Aston Villa’s players. That means that now when we go into this tough period of the season Arsenal might have an advantage (together with Manchester United) when their players are coming back with.

My opinion is that Arsenal is the better side today, and with the advantage of playing home I bet on Arsenal to 1.70 in odds.

Hull vs Manchester United – half time / Full time 2 / 2 @ 1.85

This bet means that Manchester United have to lead in half time and then win the match for a win on my bet.

Most of the things that I write in my analyze of Arsenal vs Aston Villa even fits in here. Manchester United has had lots of injuries and it’s looking a bit brighter now since many players are back or at least on their way for a comeback. And just as Arsenal has a chance to come nearer Chelsea in the top Manchester United do as well.

Before this game Chelsea has a 5 point gap down to Man Utd, but if Manchester United wins this game they will only be two points behind after exact half the season played.

Manchester United’s biggest problem has been the injuries of their defenders witch has forced Sir Alex Furgeson to play with midfielders on a defence position. For example both Michael Carrick and Darren Fletcher have played as defenders in their last few league games (and in their last group round of Champions League against Wolfsburg). Their only ordinary defender who has been available for Sir Alex Furgeson is Patrice Evra on the left side. But he has also played some games as a central defender because of their problems.

Even though they had problem with injuries it stared up well for Manchester United and they won their fist games with Fletcher and Carrick as defenders. But lately they have lost some games against Aston Villa at home (0 – 1) and Fulham away (3- 0). So this game is very important for them to win since Chelsea has given them hope to keep in contact.

For this game it looks like Manchester United’s defensive problems and some of their ordinary defenders are able to start this game. And I would be surprised if those who are available to start this game don’t.  And even though Hull has been pretty strong home at their home ground I think that a hungry Manchester United will be too hard for them. A straight win pays about 1.35 in odds and that is not a valuable bet according to me. But the half time / full time bet that gives 1.85 in odds is way more interesting.

So I hope that Rooney or some of their other players will score at least one goal before half time and then win the game.

The odds is picked from bwin-football-betting

Good luck with your bets

/Amrish

In these two texts I will give you my best picks and odds for these. I have chosen to separate Tuesday’s matches in this first article and then continue with Wednesday’s matches in next part.

One thing that you should keep in mind before betting is to watch the standings for each group and find out witch teams still have something to play for and witch teams already have secured their places. It can be a big deferens in their motivation and staring line-ups according to how important this game is. Here is a short explanation what deferens the different positions means:

Each group winner goes to the knock out round, of course, but with the added benefit that they will play the second game at home. All runner-ups in the group go to the knockout stage as well and will be drawn against the group winners. All third finishers in the groups will continue playing in the slightly less prestigious European League. And all the team that ends last in the groups have to end their European season for this year.

The pre conditions in group A – D is that Bordeaux already have won group A while Juventus and B München is fighting for the second place. Maccabi Haifa is still standing without one single point and will definitely finish last. 

In group B Manchester United, Wolfsburg and CSKA Moskva is fighting for a place in the knock out stage while Besiktas has a small chance to finish third if they beat CSKA in the last game with 1 – 0 or two goals up. 

Group C is a battle between AC Milan and Marseille for the second place. Real Madrid has already won the group and FC Zürich will finish last.

And in group D Chelsea and Porto have secured the first and second place. Atletico Madrid and Apoel are struggling to finish third.

Here are all the matches and odds that will be played on Tuesday:

 All the odds is from bwin-champions-league

Juventus 2.30 draw 3.45 FC Bayern München 2.80 

Maccabi Haifa 2.40 draw 3.30 Girondins de Bordeaudraw 2.75

Besiktas 2.75 draw 3.40 CSKA Moskva 2.35

VfL Wolfsburg 2.45 draw 3.35 Manchester United 2.65  

FC Zürich 6.75 draw 4.50 AC Milan 1.40 

Olympique de Marseille 2.95 draw 3.45 Real Madrid 2.20 

Atlético Madrid 1.75  draw 3.40 FC Porto 4.60

FC Chelsea 1.35 draw 4.40 APOEL 7.50 

And here comes my best bet for this day 

FC Zürich 6.75 draw 4.50 AC Milan 1.40 – home win @ 1.40 

Ac Milan has everything in their own hand in this last round. They are one point ahead of third placed Marseille from France and that means that if Ac Milan wins this game they are trough from this group. 

At the same time FC Zürich are five points behind Marseille, so they don’t have anything but their honour to play for.

The Italian teams, and especially Milan, have this strange ability to somehow always go trough from these tough situations that they put them selves in. And I am pretty sure that they will to the same this time as well. 

It’s remarkable that Milan only loss in this group came against Zürich at home in the second round. But that was probably a combination of underestimation and that they had some kind of over reliance of themselves. Now when the match means so much all their experience players will take a step forward and win this game for them. So even though the odds seams a bit low to be an away game in Champions League, I am pretty sure that AC Milan will go win and go trough. And if they win this game it doesn’t matter how the second match in this group between Marseille vs Real Madrid ends. 

Some other interesting odds that might be valuable:

Juventus 2.30 draw 3.45 FC Bayern München 2.80 – Draw @3.45 

This is a very interesting game in group A. Bayern München seamed to be knocked out before last round, but since Bordeaux won in their home game against Juventus the German side still have the chance to go trough. 

Juventus is one point ahead of B München before this sixth round and that means that Bayern München has to win this game to go trough, if they don’t Juventus will follow Bordeaux to the last 16. And just as I mentioned above – the Italian sides are experts on playing on result and just go trough. Even Inter Milan is in the same position as Juventus and Milan in this sixth round and I would not be surprised if all of them goes trough. 

The forth Italian team in this tournament, Fiorentina, is already in the knock out stage and it means that Italy can be the only country with four teams in the knock out stage since Liverpool and Atletico Madrid for sure will miss to qualify. 

 I think that the draw in this game in interesting, and as always the draw pays pretty well.

In the next text, below here, I continue with my best picks and analysis from group F – H.

Here are all the matches and odds for group E – H. I will give you all the pre conditions for these groups as well as I did in the text above.

FC Liverpool 2.10 draw 3.30 Fiorentina 3.30

Olympique Lyon 1.16 draw 7.00 VSC Debreceni 13.00

FC Sevilla 1.38 draw 4.35 Glasgow Rangers 7.85

VfB Stuttgart 1.60 draw 3.75 Unirea Urziceni 5.25

Olympiakos Pireus 2.10 draw 3.00 FC Arsenal 3.65

Standard Liege 1.90 draw 3.40 AZ Alkmaar3.85

Dynamo Kiev 5.75 draw 3.55 FC Barcelona 1.60

Inter Milan 1.45 draw 4.00 Rubin Kazan 7.00

Here are all you need to know before you put your bets for these matches regarding the standings in the groups.

In group E it’s already decided that Fiorentina and Lyon will go trough. The only thing that isn’t sure yet is witch of these teams will win this group. Lyon has a big advantage since they have their last match against Debreceni at home, and Debreceni is still standing without any points. Liverpool will be third in this grope no matter how the last round ends.

Group F is more open. This is the only group in of all groups in Champions League where all the teams still have the chance to go trough to last 16. Barcelona is lead with 8 points, followed by Inter Milan and Rubin Kazan on 6 points each. At the moment Dynamo Kiev is last in this group, but if they manage to win with 2 – 0 or with 3 goals or more they will pass the former Champions in the table and go trough. So this is really an exiting group.

In group G Sevilla is trough for sure. Behind them Unirea and Stuttgart is fighting for the second place. Unirea, from Romania, holds that position at the moment. But both these teams will meat each other in the last round and that match will be played in Germany. Glasgow Rangers will end last in this group.

And finally Group H where Arsenal already have won the group. Olympiakos and Standard Liege are fighting for the second place. Standard goes trough if Olympiakos looses against Arsenal home and if Standard wins their last game against AZ at the same time. But if AZ wins the last game they will pass Standard and go to the European League.

Here is my best bet for Wednesday’s matches:

Standard Liege 1.90 draw 3.40 AZ Alkmaar3.85 – Home win @ 1.85

I am surprised over how bad AZ has been in the Champions League, and at the same time I am surprised over that Standard has been way better then I thought they would be.

For example Standard Liege lead with 2 – 0 against Arsenal in the first round, and even though Arsenal played with lots of youngsters I think that they would win easier. Finally they won with 2 – 3 as well, but as I said – Standard impressed on me.

Standard was even close to bring home one point from their away game against Olympiakos in Greece. It stood 1 – 1 late in the game and Olympiakos where a bit lucky since the match winning goal came on the third and final stoppage minute.

At the same time I had more expectations on AZ then they have proved. AZ from Alkmaar has three draws in their five games but all of them have come in their home games. So they are standing on two looses away and now I think that their third away loss is on its way.

And even the motivation is on Standards side, because to play for a place in Champions League’s last 16 and European league’s last 32 is a big difference. So I pick Standard as my best pick of these eight matches and it feels good.

Another potential bet on Wednesday:

Inter Milan 1.45 draw 4.00 Rubin Kazan 7.00 – Home win @ 1.45

Even though all the teams have the opportunity to go though from this group and all of the teams risk to not go trough I am pretty sure that Barcelona will be one of two teams that goes trough.

Even though they loose with the odd goal in their match against D Kiev in the last round they will go trough. But what that would mean for this game is that this can’t end draw. If Barcelona take at least one point in the last game against Dynamo Kiev, witch is mostly possible, one of these teams will go trough.

If Rubin Kazan wins this match they are trough and if Inter Milan wins they are trough. The interesting thing is what will happen if this match ends with a draw. Because if it ends 0 – 0 or 1 – 1 Inter Milan will go through, if it ends 2 – 2 or more Rubin Kazan will go trough. BUT do not forget that if this match ends with a draw and Dynamo Kiev win their last game against Barcelona both of them will go trough and both Inter Milan and Rubin Kazan is out.

And I am pretty sure that Inter won’t take that risk to be saved by Barcelona. Inter is the better team and should win this game since they have to home advantage. And as I mentioned when I wrote about AC Milan and Juventus, Italian teams have a great ability to go trough from these kinds of situations.

All the odds are picked from bwin-football-betting

Good luck with your sportsbetting

/Amrish

The Champions League draw for this season, 2009-2010, is done and now we can just wait for the group stage to begin. Champions League is the greatest tournament for clubs in the world and all the matches are prestigious. That’s even a reason why I like to bet on that tournament. Even though many people thinks that it’s hard to find value-bets in Champions League I have another opinion.

Since all the matches means so much for all the clubs, both trough in a prestigious and economic way, my believes is that he who knows much about the teams quality and capacity has god chances to win in the length.

In this text I will give you my potential winners of CL 2009 / 2010 and write my thoughts and analyzes about some other top teams. I have chosen to split the text in two parts. In this part, 1 / 2, I will give you all the odds on the teams that have qualified to the tournament and give you my picks. And in next part I will give you my thoughts about some of the favourites that I don’t think will go all the way, and why I think so.

Here are all the odds (The odds are picked from Bwin-Champions League):

Real Madrid    4.25

FC Barcelona    5.00

FC Chelsea    7.00

Manchester United    9.00

FC Arsenal    9.00

Inter Milan    13.00

FC Liverpool    13.00

Juventus    21.00

AC Milan    21.00

Bayern München    23.00

Olympique Lyon    41.00

FC Sevilla    41.00

VfL Wolfsburg    41.00

Atletico Madrid    51.00

VfB Stuttgart    81.00

FC Porto    126.00

Olympiakos Pireus    151.00

Olympique de Marseille    151.00

Fiorentina    151.00

AZ Alkmaar    151.00

FC Rubin Kazan    251.00

CSKA Moskva    251.00

Besiktas    251.00

FC Dynamo Kiev    251.00

Girondins de Bordeaux    251.00

Glasgow Rangers    500.00

FC Zürich    500.00

Standard Liege    500.00

Maccabi Haifa    750.00

Debreceni    1000.00

Unirea Urziceni    1000.00

APOEL    1000.00

My Winners 1)

Chelsea to win Champions League @ 7.00

Premier League has been the strongest league in Europe for the last couples of years and they who don’t believe me can just look at the stats from Champions League.

Both last year and the year before that three out of four teams in Champions League’s semi-finals came from Premier League. Last year it was Manchester United, Arsenal and Chelsea and 2007 / 2008 it was Manchester United, Chelsea and Liverpool.

2007 / 2008 even had two English teams in the final when Manchester United beat Chelsea after penalties. And don’t forget that it was just seconds ago that they went to the finals even last year. Barcelona equalized against Chelsea in the last seconds of the return and “should” have been knocked out in the semis already if there where any justice in football.

So even thought some star players have left Premier League this season and Spanish La Liga have signed lots of world class players I still think that Premier League is the best league overall.

Top 2 teams in Spain, Barcelona and Real Madrid, are stronger this year then the last years. But the gap after those two teams is too big to compare with Premier League of being the best league in Europe (and the world).

I bet Chelsea as my primary winner because I find a value on that bet. They pay 7 times the bet and if you take a look on their last performances in Champions League they really deserve to win this year. Last year (2008 / 2009) they where knocked out at the second in the semi finals last year. The year before that (2007 / 2008) they ended second after that John Terry missed the last penalty (and then Anelka) against Manchester United in the finals. Even the year before that (2006 / 2007) they reached the semi finals and got knocked out against Liverpool after penalties again.

Chelsea still has their strong team from the last years and I think they have the strongest team in Premier League this season. I think the players are thirsty for a European title and think they have great chances to win this year.

My Winners 2)

Real Madrid to win Champions League @ 4.75

If I let myself pick two possible winners of Premier League 2009 / 2010 I just can’t choose to not pick Real Madrid as one of those.

Real Madrid have won the European cup (not only Champions League but totally) more times then any other opponent and have a winning tradition.

But it was long time ago that they managed to win Champions League now and that must be one of the reasons that the club / president have invested unreal sums of money on new players this year.

With new players like Christiano Rolando, Karim Benzema and Kaka in the squad forward and Arbeloa and Xabi Alonso to balance the team defensive this is one of the best club teams in Europe for the last decades. If only manager Manuel Pellegrini can keep a god atmosphere in the dressing room I think that Real Madrid will challenge for the title in May.

/Amrish

Continuities with part 2:2 just below.