This year’s Premier League has been the most interesting season in several years, since all the teams still have anything to play for. No team has run away from the rest of the teams in the top of the table and all of the teams in the bottom of the table still have the chance to avoid relegation.

In these two texts I will give you my best bettingtips for the coming round.  As I do sometimes I have chosen to split the text into two different posts since there are lots of matches to go through. First I will give you all the matches with the odds and then I will give you my best bettingtips for each match in this round. I will also give you my analyzes on why I bet like I do. All the odds are picked from bwin football sportsbetting.

Here are the first three matches in this round with the odds on each of them:

Manchester United vs. Manchester City odds – home win: 1.72, draw: 3.50, away win: 4.40

Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers odds – home win: 1.22, draw: 5.50, away win: 12.00

Birmingham FC vs. Stoke City odds – home win: 2.45, draw: 3.10, away win: 2.85

And now I will give you my best tips and the odds + analyze:

Manchester United vs. Manchester City, my bettingtips: away win @ 4.40 in odds

It was long time ago that I thought that Manchester City actually could beat Manchester United in their own theater of dreams. But this time at least think that they have a reasonable chance to do it. Do you remember the last game between these two teams here at Old Trafford? Craig Bellamy scored 3 – 3 for City in the 90^th minute and everyone thought that the game was going to end with a draw. Even more when the announced four minutes where passed. But, somehow, Michael Owen managed to score 4 -3 to Manchester United when the clock stood on 95.30. You can call it furgie-time or whatever you want, but somehow this red machine manages to score these important goals.

That time the former united player and City-manager said that he understood why all the teams complained of all the advantages that Manchester United got while he was playing there but could not see from the same perspective.

What does this story actually have to do with my bet and bettingtips in this match? It’s as easy that City was almost close to win (or at least take one point) last year against Manchester United away. Now they have a stronger squad, are doing better in the league, and finally – they have a smarter manager. So I don’t think that this is a long shot. In addition to that, Manchester United lost their first league game in the last round against Wolverhampton away. I defiantly believe that Manchester city have the skills to disturb Sir Alex Ferguson’s team in this game and find the odds at 4.40 interesting on the away win in this derby.

Arsenal vs. Wolverhampton, my bettingtips: home win @ 1.22 in odds

Arsenal had the 0 – 4 lead away against Newcastle and everyone had counted in those three points for Arsenal. But in a strange way their game totally collapsed and Newcastle came closer and closer. Okay – it has to be said that Arsenal got an early red card in the beginning of the second half. And okay, Newcastle got two scores on Penalty. But it is still insane that Arsenal could “loose” two points that easy in the second half.

Because of that miss, I am pretty sure that Wolverhampton will pay the price in this game. Arsenal will win and they will do it comfortably. Even though Wolves took a strong win against Manchester United in the last round home at Mollineux, this is more or less mission impossible for them.  I actually think that 1.22 in odds on Gunners is a pretty valuable odds, even though it’s not that high. I really think that Arsenal will win this game and place a bet on them. I would also recommend you to keep an eye on the special bets (halftime/fulltime or handicap) on Arsenal.

Birmingham FC vs. Stoke City, my bettingtips draw @ 3.10 in odds

This is a pretty hard match to predict. My feeling says that Birmingham should be favorites, which they are, but the statistics says that Stoke is in a good form at the moment.  So this match can end in both directions. Or why not with a draw that both teams might be satisfied with?

I don’t find any other odds valuable to bet on, so my bettingtips on this game is a draw at 3.10 in odds.

In the next text I will give you my best bettingtips from the rest of the seven games in this round.

Because I regularly write articles that give online betting tips for punters I try and focus on bets that have a decent chance of winning and offer a good return. My selections tend to focus on looking for bets around 1/1 that would return double the amount staked. If you know a lot about a particular sport, you can find these little nuggets of profit.

My strategy is based around my belief that you should stick to what you know. I follow Football, Pool, Snooker, Boxing, Tennis, and Politics the closest. Most of my betting selections and betting tips are given in relation to these sports as these are the markets that I can look at and form educated opinions based upon my knowledge whether or not it is a good selection to bet on. If you know nothing about a sport you are not wisely betting, you are gambling and a good sports bettor will seek to reduce the gamble as much as possible. You reduce that risk through knowledge and research.

So after selecting a sport I know about, I set about looking for a value bet to get a decent return. Backing Nadal to beat a lower ranked Tennis player at 1.03 will probably win, but do I really want to bet £100 to get a total return of £103? Certainly not and if I lost it would take a long time to regain that money back each time risking another large amount for a very small return. So I am looking for 1/1 chances that should be odds on, or other good value bets. By betting on sports I am familiar with, these opportunities jump out at me when I look through the betting cards.

The amount I wager depends on how strongly I feel about the selection. I will back a maximum of 5 points if I strongly believe in the selection out of my 100 point betting bank. Do not get carried away, however, only once have I ever had a 5 point bet, the majority of my bets are 2 point wagers. This sort of restriction means you always know you are betting within your limits and rather than worry about losing you can just watch the bet and the action. A win still feels good. I admit my betting bank strategy is conservative, you may prefer a slightly more risky route and providing you are comfortable with the risks involved there is nothing wrong with this.

Here is a free sports betting tip for you as a thanks for reading this article, which I believe is a 3 or 4 pointer in terms of betting bank value. Carl Froch, unbeaten in his career so far and hungry for respect and success, is fighting Mikkel Kessler in the Super Six boxing tournament. Kessler did not look at his best at the last fight losing to Andre Ward, who whilst undefeated in his career so far has not fought any world class fighters before. Father time can quickly catch up to a fighter and in this fight I believe Froch will win. At odds of 29/20 I think this is a worthwhile wager due to Froch’s record and the fact he is always in superb fighting shape when the bell rings.

This is what sports betting is all about; making an informed decision then backing your judgement. If you are good at spotting opportunities, you can make a bit of extra money over time by this method.

By Malcolm Clarke

Here are all the matches and odds for these five games, the odds are picked from bwin-football-betting-tips:

Blackburn vs. Bolton, odds: home win 2.00  draw 3.30  away win 3.60

Aston Villa vs. Burnley, odds: home win 1.35  draw 4.50 away win 8.50

Fulham vs. Birmingham City, odds: home win 2.05  draw 3.25  away win 3.50

Manchester City vs. Liverpool FC, odds: home win 2.60   draw 3.20   away win 2.60

Wigan Athletic vs. Tottenham Hotspurs, odds: home win 3.55   draw 3.30  away win 2.00

I will start to give you my two best bettingtips for today’s matches and then analyse the rest of the games and try to sort out how I think it will end and where I think we have potential value bets.

Fulham vs. Birmingham City – bettingtips; Home win @ 2.05 in odds

Fulham has been in a shorter down period some matches ago, but after their win against Burnley with 3 – 0 I think that they are on their way up again. Birmingham on the other side had a brilliant form a couple of matches ago but has lost some games and doesn’t feel just as strong as some weeks ago.

Birmingham City had a strong row with matches without loss (I think they had thirteen games). However, as is often happens with teams less strong squads even Birmingham has come to a point where I think that they will have a tough period in front of them. For example Birmingham lost away against West Ham in their last league game (2 – 0) and only have one win in their last five games.

Fulham is, and have always been this season, a strong side home at Craven Cottage. They have taken points from most of the top teams here at Craven. After Birmingham have started to loose again Fulham is just behind Birmingham in the league table now. Birmingham stands on 9^th place with 37 points and Fulham is on the 10^th place with 34 points before this game. Since Fulham has better goal difference, they will pass Birmingham in the league table if they win today.

Compared to these two teams home / away stats it also feels like it is clear home advantage here. Fulham have won 8 of their 13 matches played at Craven Cottage while Birmingham only has four wins in twelve games away, six looses. Therefore, I think that they have big chances to win against Birmingham City as well. The odds on home win are 2.05 and I find that valuable to put a bet on.

Manchester City vs. Liverpool – bettingtips; Home win @ 2.60 in odds.

A big game just behind top three in the table and this is a vital game in the chase for the forth place in the league. As you all probably know the fourth place even means a ticket to the qualification round to Champions League for the coming year, and that means lots of money for the clubs.

I think that both of these clubs are aiming for the Champions League and almost need to go there to cover up all of the costs. Liverpool has been playing in Champions league for the last 6-7 years and cannot afford to not play in the biggest tourney for club teams.

Nevertheless, this year has been a tough one for Rafa Benitez and his Liverpool and even when they have won games, the play just does not seem satisfied. Manchester City on the other hand has a great record after the Italian manager Roberto Mancini arrived and they have even beaten both Manchester United (in carlings cup), Arsenal (4 – 2 in the league back in autumn) and Chelsea (2 – 1 in the league) this year.

In addition, I do not feel that Liverpool is close to these teams this year and find the odds on home win as a great bet. I think that Liverpool often is overvalued when it comes to betting and odds and this is a great example of that. I would say that about 2.30 would be normal odds on the home win if I decided the odds in this game, but now I am sitting on the other side of the table so I pick this as a bettingtips instead and recommend you to bet on Manchester City today.

In the rest of today’s matches, I think that Aston Villa will beat Burnley easy. Even though the odds seem a bit low I just cannot see them not winning in the battle of top four. Therefore, this is a good bet according to me as well. Burnley is one of the weaker teams in Premier League outside their home ground. Two odds that I feel interesting in this game are hcp (0-1) or halftime / fulltime 1 / 1.

When it comes to Wigan vs. Tottenham and Blackburn vs. Bolton, I find both this games hard to predict and neither of the odds are valuable to place a bet on.

Good Luck with your premier league betting

/Amrish

Nikolai Davydenko 1.85 Robin Soderling 1.85

My tennis tip for this match is Davydenko. Before the emergence of Del Potro and Murray Davydenko was a solid performer in the top five. Whilst he rarely manages to beat the likes of Djokovic, Federer and Nadal he maintains his rankings by winning circuit events and proving very hard to beat for players outside of the top few ranking spots. Soderling has benefited from being coached by Magnus Norman, but lacks the quality to regularly beat the top players. Davydenko is the best bet here at a reasonable heads up price of 1.85, but do not go crazy as this match is very close, particularly if Soderling is on form.

Rafa Nadal 1.70 Nikolai Davydenko 2.03

I find it hard to believe that Davydenko can be offered at even money to beat Nadal. Nadal is so far superior to Davydenko that I think 1.70 even offers value. My tip is for Nadal to win and you should consider bwins odds of 3.33 that Davydenko will not win a set in this match. You simply cannot see Nadal losing in this game and I would expect odds of around 1.50 for Nadal in this match so consider 1.70 to hold some value. Even when injured I would expect a Nadal win here, such is my confidence in his Tennis ability.

Rafa Nadal 2.94 Novak Djokovic 1.35

Djokovic played amazingly well against Nadal to win in Paris and Nadal commented afterwards that this was the best he had ever seen Novak play. I think Djokovic will at least get to the final here but is Nadal a value bet here? I think he certainly is. Rarely does a player beat Nadal easily twice in a row in such a short period of time; even Federer has not managed it! I think Nadal will make the necessary adjustments and beat Djokovic, probably in three sets. A lot depends on Nadals fitness as he has certainly been hampered by injuries this season. This should be another very close match.

Roger Federer 1.66 Andy Murray 2.09

Murray has always had the better of Federer on the hard courts, apart from the US Open final in 2008 where his inexperience at the grand slam final level let him down. With many circuit event wins to give him confidence, I think you can expect Murray to give Federer a really good game here. Betting on either player offers reasonable odds I think and Federer is certainly the favourite. Murray has beaten him before and both took long breaks after the US Open making the result hard to predict as we are unsure of their form. Perhaps a small wager on Murray to heap the misery on Federer who lost to Benneteau last week in his most surprise defeat for quite some time.

Murray is 1.22 to beat Verdasco at 3.82 in his other match. Verdasco managed to beat Murray at the Australian Open but when Murray is playing well he seems to win his sets 6-2 and 6-3 against the Spanish player. If you think Murray is vulnerable after injury the 3.82 could be a good bet. Watch out for Djokovic to cement his place near the top of the game in this tournament, you heard it here first! Enjoy your tennis betting this weekend and remember to check out the bwin live betting opportunities.

By Malcolm Clarke